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	<title>Comments on: Bird flu drugs</title>
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	<description>Science Blog from Freelance Science Writer David Bradley</description>
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		<title>By: David Bradley</title>
		<link>http://www.sciencebase.com/science-blog/bird-flu-drugs.html/comment-page-1#comment-142284</link>
		<dc:creator>David Bradley</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 03 Sep 2007 15:40:36 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>&lt;a href=&quot;http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20070828/ts_nm/birdflu_spread_dc;_ylt=ArMhlHRx71ZhsOhWmR8Q4vSs0NUE&quot; _base_href=&quot;http://www.sciencebase.com&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;Mathematical bird flu - September 3, 2007&lt;/a&gt; - A mathematical analysis of bird flu (H5N1) clusters among people in Indonesia, suggests that there was at least one human to human transmission of the virus in April 2006. Thankfully, the virus reached a dead end and spread no further. This much hyped news, however, does not mean that we are on the verge of a truly P2P transmissable avian influenza. A separate study cited in the &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2007/08/19/nbirdflu119.xml&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;Telegraph&lt;/a&gt;, suggests that the odds of a bird flu epidemic (currently given as 3% in any given year, by the UK&#039;s National Health Service) should be revised to between 5 and 20% percent)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20070828/ts_nm/birdflu_spread_dc;_ylt=ArMhlHRx71ZhsOhWmR8Q4vSs0NUE" _base_href="http://www.sciencebase.com" rel="nofollow">Mathematical bird flu &#8211; September 3, 2007</a> &#8211; A mathematical analysis of bird flu (H5N1) clusters among people in Indonesia, suggests that there was at least one human to human transmission of the virus in April 2006. Thankfully, the virus reached a dead end and spread no further. This much hyped news, however, does not mean that we are on the verge of a truly P2P transmissable avian influenza. A separate study cited in the <a href="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2007/08/19/nbirdflu119.xml" rel="nofollow">Telegraph</a>, suggests that the odds of a bird flu epidemic (currently given as 3% in any given year, by the UK&#8217;s National Health Service) should be revised to between 5 and 20% percent)</p>
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